Injury Control and Safety Promotion: Linear Regression Models Research Paper

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Scatter plot of AssessmentValue vs FloorArea
Figure 1: Scatter plot of AssessmentValue vs FloorArea

From figure 1 above, the tax assessment value and the FloorArea have an increasingly positive relationship. There is a linear relationship between the two variables, which is portrayed by the closeness of the plotted points in the above scatter plot. Furthermore, the R-Square value is 0.9377, which implies that 93.77% of the variation in the tax assessment value can be explained by the floor area. The large R-square value indicates that the model is significant and useful in predicting the tax assessment value, hence a substantially linear relationship between the two variables.

Table 1: Regression analysis of FloorArea and AssessmentValue

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.968358
R Square0.937718
Adjusted R Square0.935642
Standard Error115.5993
Observations32
ANOVA
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression160358526035852451.67721.22548E-19
Residual3040089613363.2
Total316436748
CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept162.662854.478572.9858120.00558651.40269388273.922851.40269273.9228
X Variable 10.3067320.01443321.25271.23E-190.2772567440.3362070.2772570.336207

From table 1 above, FloorArea is a significant predictor of the tax assessment value. This is because the R-square value is0.9377. Taking into consideration the sample size of the data, the adjusted R-square value is 0.93356. This implies that 93.356% of the tax assessment value can be explained by FloorArea based on the sample (David, 2018). The variation between R-square and adjusted R-square shows that the model is significant; hence FloorArea is a useful predictor.

Scatter plot of AssessedValue ($'000) vs Age
Figure 2: Scatter plot of AssessedValue ($’000) vs Age

There is a negative decreasing relationship between tax assessment value and age. This is portrayed by the scattering of the plotted points together with the trend line. The value of R-square is very small, implying that the model is insignificant.

Table 2: Regression analysis of tax assessment value and age

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.179004
R Square0.032043
Adjusted R Square-0.00022
Standard Error455.7228
Observations32
ANOVA
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression1206249.6206249.60.9930970.326957
Residual306230498207683.3
Total316436748
CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept1377.366163.19068.4402312.03E-091044.0861710.6461044.0861710.646
X Variable 1-5.594215.613615-0.996540.326957-17.05875.870325-17.05875.870325

From table 2 above, age is not a significant predictor of tax assessment value. This is because the R-squares value of this regression model is 0.032, implying that 3.2 % of the variation of tax assessment value can be explained by age (David, 2018). Furthermore, the adjusted R-square taking into consideration the size of the sample, shows that -0.00022, which is 0.022% of the variation in tax assessment value, can be explained by age based on the sample size. There is a significant variation between the R-square value and the adjusted R-square; hence Age is not a suitable predictor in this model.

Table 3: Multiple regression model involving AssessmentValue, FloorArea, Offices, Entrances, and Age

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.976236
R Square0.953037
Adjusted R Square0.946079
Standard Error105.8108
Observations32
ANOVA
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression461344581533615136.97981.62E-17
Residual27302289.811195.92
Total316436748
CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept38.7834577.094510.5030640.618999-119.401196.9683-119.401196.9683
FloorArea (Sq.Ft.)0.2440410.0254929.5730453.59E-100.1917350.2963470.1917350.296347
Offices80.9459235.653982.270320.0313827.790001154.10187.790001154.1018
Entrances86.5975645.204521.9156830.066051-6.15446179.3496-6.15446179.3496
Age-0.207991.406374-0.147890.883528-3.093632.677652-3.093632.677652

Table 3 above shows that the variables are significant in predicting the tax assessment value based on the R-square value and the adjusted R-square value. The R-square value is 0.953037, implying that 95.30% of the variation in the tax assessment value is determined by the combined variation of FloorArea, offices, entrances, and age. The adjusted R-square is 0.946079; considering the sample size, 94.61 of the variation in tax assessment value is determined by the combined variation of FloorArea, offices, entrances, and age. Using α = 0.05, the significant variables are floor area and offices. This is because they are the only variables with p-values less than 0.05 (Lisi, 2019). Entrances and age are insignificant because their p-values are greater than 0.05 hence not suitable for predicting the tax assessment value.

Table 4: Multiple regression model involving floor area and offices

SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.972788
R Square0.946317
Adjusted R Square0.942615
Standard Error109.1571
Observations32
ANOVA
dfSSMSFSignificance F
Regression260912053045603255.6053.82E-19
Residual29345542.911915.27
Total316436748
CoefficientsStandard Errort StatP-valueLower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept115.913655.828142.0762570.046841.732186230.09491.732186230.0949
FloorArea (Sq.Ft.)0.2641210.02401210.999557.28E-120.2150110.3132310.2150110.313231
Offices78.3390636.346222.1553560.0395694.002689152.67544.002689152.6754

From table 4 above, the multiple regression model involving FloorArea and Offices is AssesedValue = 0.2641 x FloorArea + 78.3391 x Offices + 115.9136. Using the model AssessedValue = 115.9 + 0.26 x FloorArea + 78.34 x Offices, the tax assessed value is 1182.58. Using the database model, the value is 1,051.70. The value is consistent with minor variation in tax assessment value.

References

David, M. (2018). A Guide to Business Statistics, 133-147. Web.

Lisi, G. (2019). Journal of Property Research, 36(3), 272-290. Web.

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