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UAE Government Foresight and Scenarios Program: The 3D Concrete Printing Presentation

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What is the purpose of the initiative?

The 3D concrete printing initiative is the future of modernised, affordable, durable, and efficient means of construction for government projects across the UAE. For the next two decades, it is predicted that the UAE government will need an affordable but efficient means of construction for its projects such as national housing and roads. The current standard concrete forms will not cannot cope with the demand for light structured construction projects. The 3D concrete printing technology is predicted to transform the construction industry in the UAE because of its benefits such as reduced cost of construction by up to 40%, durable but light structures, and mass implementation of multiple projects within a short time.

Who is the client?

The client is the government of UAE interested in constructing futuristic cities that are consistent with the technology of the next decade. The government has limited resources but wants to transform several construction plans into actual projects from bridges, government building, stadiums, and public housing among others.

Who is supposed to benefit and how?

The government will benefit from reduced expenditure on construction by up to 40% since the 3D concrete printing technology is estimated to cost 50% less than the current concrete forms. Moreover, the government will be able to roll out multiple projects that can be completed in a shorter timeline than the current projects. The UAE government will be able to plan for construction project expenditure accurately and get completed projects in time. This will also save costs associated with extension in construction projects.

What are the measures of success or improvement?

The first successful measure is completion of construction project within the set deadline, which is half the current duration for similar projects. Another measure is reduced cost of construction by 40% of the current cost for similar projects. The third measure is elimination of costs associated with extension of construction projects such as inflation.

What forms of knowledge and expertise will need to be consulted?

  • The knowledge needed is the technology of printing concrete forms into viable slabs or blocks for building (Lester 34).
  • The expertise needed include civil engineering knowledge, structural competency, land economics experts, and 3D printing information technology experts.
  • The is also a need for architectural expertise in the design to guarantee structural integrity of the projects at hand (Dykstra 19).

What resources will be needed to implement the initiative?

  • 3D Printers.
  • Concrete mixers.
  • Cement, sand, gravel, and limestone.
  • Technologically advanced factory.
  • Investment of about $1 billion.

Who controls these resources?

  • The 3D printers will be controlled by a trained IT expert with support from civil and architectural professionals (Ramos).
  • The regulation of materials to use in 3D printing will be done by the civil engineer with assistance from the land economist (Lipson and Kurman 27).
  • The approval of final concrete block will be done by the structural expert alongside the project manager.
  • Allocation of funds will be done by the project accountant in consultation with the project manager.
  • The experts in different fields will be part of the project supervisors.

What is the timeframe for planning, implementation and evaluation?

  • The time frame is twelve months.
  • First three months is planning.
  • Second three months is for piloting.
  • Last six months is for implementation and evaluation.

UAE Government Foresight and Scenarios Program: The 3D Concrete Printing

UAE Government Foresight and Scenarios Program: The 3D Concrete Printing

Trends occurring related to the UAE.

ShortMediumLong
SocialConstruction is moving towards modern structure that embrace the UAE Islamic culture.The modernity in construction is predicted to transform into a lifestyle as the need for efficiency in structures grow.Constructions in the future is projected to integrate the Islamic culture as modern building take the shape of different cultural objects.
TechnologicalThe need for smart houses is becoming a trend in the UAE.The trend is expected to include all operational aspects of the house such as window design and concrete walls that can move or change shape depending on the needs of the occupant.It is predicted that future construction projects using the 3D technology will completed change the walling and flooring of houses. These walls will be able to change color, permit or block light, and regulate the heat in the structure
EnvironmentalThe need for green living is slowly becoming part of the construction culture in the UAE. This is driven by the desire to improve on efficiency of construction and structural sustainability.The need for smart and eco-friendly trend has been embraced by the private and government sectors. The trend is driven by the need to preserve the environment and promote green living.Green living will take over construction in the next 30 years in line with environmental concerns of global warming.
EconomicThe cost of construction has been increasing the UAE for the last 20 years due to increase in cost of materials and inflation.The cost is predicted to the main determinants of future projects that involve the use of concretes. Any alternative that promises reducing costs will quickly take over the market.It is predicted that 3D printing will reduce the cost of construction by up to 40% and improve on structural integrity and efficiency in the next 20 years.
PoliticalThe UAE government is transforming the current construction projects into political statements laden with symbolic structures.The government is predicted to invest more in politically friendly projects to appeal to the masses using improved and light weight materials.Integration of 3D printed concretes will transform the UAE construction projects into a powerhouse where other economic allies will come to pick the new technology.

Research Futures Trends and Drivers

Trend Impact Analysis

Trend: Shift to 3D printed concrete in construction of government projects.

Impact Over 1-5 yrs:

  • Reduced cost of construction by 20%.
  • Increase in smart concrete structures by 5% as more project embrace the 3D technology.
  • Improvement of green structures by 10%.
  • Improved efficiency in construction by 10% as structures become light weight and stronger.

Impact Over 6-10 yrs:

  • Reduced cost of construction by 35%.
  • Increase in smart concrete structures by 15% as more project embrace the 3D technology.
  • Improvement of green structures by 20%.
  • Improved efficiency in construction by 15% as structures become light weight and stronger.

Impact Over 10+ yrs:

  • Reduced cost of construction by 45-50% due to economies of scale
  • Increase in smart concrete structures by 35% and above as more project embrace the 3D technology.
  • Improvement of green structures by 35% and above.
  • Improved efficiency in construction by 40% as structures become light.

Trend Impact Analysis

Impact and Probability of Occurrence

RiskImpactProbability
Contractual and Procurement RiskLow

The case study is silent on this hence we assume a low risk

Low

The case study is silent on this hence we assume a low risk

Economic and Financial RiskHigh

The Asian Reconstruction Bank finances the largest proportion of the project and payment delay may seriously cripple the project

Low

Since the financier is reliable, there is an assumption that payments will not be delayed

Operational and Technological RiskHigh

The overruns on cost is likely to create a ripple effect in other project implementation categories

Medium

Since the project is tightly controlled, the probability will not be high or low

Environment RiskLow

The case study is silent on this hence we assume a low risk

Low

The case study is silent on this hence we assume a low risk

Political RiskHigh

The resistance from the freedom fighter is likely to create a lot of tension

Medium

The government’s response has promised control and security to the project

Delay RiskHigh

Any overrun of the schedule will increase the cost of the project by a big margin

Low

The project is tightly controlled hence the occurrence is likely to be low

Social RiskHigh

Ecological imbalances and displacements

High

This must happen for the project to be implemented

Regulatory and legal riskLow

The government owns the project

Low

The government owns the project

Safety RiskHigh

Any overrun of the schedule will increase the cost of the project by a big margin

Medium

This has occurred more than 5 times in the last ten years

Impact and Probability of Occurrence

Prioritising Direct/Indirect Trends on my Business

LowMedium High
HighPolitical Risk. Economic and Financial RiskDelay Risk, Safety Risk. Operational RiskSocial Risk
Medium
LowEnvironmental Risk, Legal Risk, Contractual Risk

Prioritising Direct/Indirect Trends on my Business

Prioritising Direct/Indirect Trends on my Business.
Prioritising Direct/Indirect Trends on my Business.
Template: Mapping the strategic environment
Template: Mapping the strategic environment.
Template: Organising the uncertainties
Template: Organising the uncertainties.

Template: Uncertainties and opposite outcomes

Contractual and Procurement Risk:

  • The project has very clear procurement and contractual arrangement for completion of the project.
  • Delay in implementation.

Environment Risk:

  • Sustainability, pollution, environmental degradation.
  • Change of project location or increased cost as a result of meeting environmental standards.

Political Risk:

  • Possible displacement of all the occupants.
  • Public outrage and lack of endorsement from interested bodies may delay project.

Operational and Technological Risk:

  • the inflexible time allocation for completion of the project may be faced with challenges in channels of reporting progress.
  • Technological failure and cost of maintenance might increase project cost.

Template: Uncertainties and opposite outcomes

Template: Scenario framework
Template: Scenario framework.
Template: Scenario detailing
Template: Scenario detailing.
Template: SWOT and wind-tunnel current policy
Template: SWOT and wind-tunnel current policy.

Works Cited

Dykstra, Alison. Construction Project Management: A Complete Introduction. Kirshner Publishing Company, 2018.

Huthman, Ibrahim. 3D Printing for Prestressed Concrete. Ohio University, 2017.

Lester, Albert. Project Management, Planning and Control: Managing Engineering, Construction and Manufacturing Projects to PMI, APM and BSI Standards. 6th ed., Butterworth-Heinemann, 2013.

Lipson, Hod and Melba Kurman. Fabricated: The New World of 3D Printing. John Wiley & Sons, 2013.

Ramos, Jose. “Futures Action Model for Policy Wind Tunneling”. Action Foresight. 2017. Web.

Taha Mahmoud M. Reda, editor. International Congress on Polymers in Concrete (ICPIC 2018): Polymers for Resilient and Sustainable Concrete Infrastructure. Springer, 2018.

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IvyPanda. 2022. "UAE Government Foresight and Scenarios Program: The 3D Concrete Printing." August 22, 2022. https://ivypanda.com/essays/uae-government-foresight-and-scenarios-program-the-3d-concrete-printing/.

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