Global Crises
Hall’s (2010) review of crises begins with the impact of the 2007 financial crisis. Following on from this Hall (ibid) goes on to recount a number of well-known global crises that have had lasting impacts on international passenger flows.
Concurrently, Aviation has evolved in terms of technologies, sectors and route networks, with once popular destinations now struggling to appeal to potential passengers and previously less visited destinations seeing an upturn in arrivals.
Organisations have arrived in the industry, and disappeared, as crises take their toll.
UNWTO (2019) estimates that worldwide international tourist arrivals increased 6% to 1.4 billion in 2018. In relative terms, the Middle East (+10%), Africa (+7%), Asia and the Pacific and Europe (both at +6%) led growth in 2018. Arrivals to the Americas were below the world average (+3%).
The current global pandemic has impacted on the Aviation industry more so than any crisis since WW2. However, alongside Covid-19, the Aviation industry is existing in a time where shocks, the result of a range of crises, are creating a turbulent and unstable business environment.
Crises have wide ranging ramifications for Aviation organisation. The impacts on these organisations vary considerably depending on the type of crisis, the severity of the crisis and the way in which the organisation has planned for, and responded to the crisis. The resilience of the Aviation industry is in question.
The questions that form this assessment toolkit are designed for you to critically examine a range of Crisis Management themes within the Aviation industry and within the context of a global turbulent environment.
Useful Sources
UNWTO library / IATA – Crisis Communication in the Digital Age / WTTC economic tools / Toolbox for Crisis Communications in Tourism / Skift / CAPA / World Economic Forum – Global Risk Report 2020.
Preliminary Literature Review
The word crisis comes from the Greek “krisis” meaning differentiation or decision (Glaesser, 2003). Crises can be identified as ‘wildcard (events)’ – high impact, low probability (Cooper, C & Hall M, 2019), therefore they are events that require important and immediate decisions to be made.
Triangulation is the use of more than one method of research to add depth to data and analysis, contributing to greater confidence in findings (Bryman, Bell, & Teevan, 2009).
A crisis denotes a progressive process that leads to the disruption of various physical aspects of a given system while threatening its basic assumption and its overall existential core (Al-Dahash, Thayaparan, & Kulatunga, 2016). Over the years, the term crisis has been interchangeably used with the term ‘disaster.’ It implies that in the event of any crisis, there is often an associated disaster that affects the internal and external factors of a given system or organization (Mikusova & Horvathova, 2019). Therefore, a crisis is linked with business interruptions, emergencies, accidents, and catastrophes. The existence of these factors, in turn, leads to vulnerability results that are facilitated by various factors from economical factors to technological, financial, political, and social factors in addition to human error.
The Aviation industry recognizes that a variety of risks to stakeholders are prevalent globally and that safety issues exist anywhere people travel (IATA 2018). Hazards include, but are not limited to hurricanes, earthquakes, tsunamis, and floods; health risks such as SARS, pandemic flu and localized outbreaks; as well as actions such as technological / industrial failures, accidents, terrorism and political unrest.
How a stakeholder responds to a crisis often affects the public’s perception of the stakeholder, Chang et al (2018). Thus, how to effectively deal with complicated crisis situations is of the utmost importance in order to restore image and reputation after the crisis. Effective crisis management during a crisis has a positive effect on a stakeholder reputation and brand equity, and will facilitate the recovery after the crisis (Grundy and Moxon, 2013; Hansson and Vikström, 2010).
Evaluation of the response strategy utilised by an organisation of your sub-sector.
In early 2019, Lonely Planet named Sri Lanka as its #1 Destination for 2019, a potential boost for passenger flows into the country. On April 21st 2019, seven suicide bombers struck a number of churches and three luxury hotels within the country.
In April 2018, 29 airlines were serving Sri Lanka offering 300 flights a week. However, following the Easter attacks, the connectivity was reduced to 239 flights a week, which amounts to a loss of … 8,000 [seats] per week,” Jayaratne, J (2019). As an attempted recovery strategy, the Sri Lankan Government has announced that it will reduce the price of aviation fuel, ground handling and embarkation fees for six months at Colombo airport, to encourage airlines to reinstate schedules, increase the number of flights and lower ticket prices.
Many experts and academics see the “recovery” stage as the final part of the crisis process for stakeholders. It is at this point that stakeholders adopt policies to normalise operations in the hope to moving forward from the crisis.
Analyse a recovery strategy carried out by an organisation from your sector. (500 words)
The International Civil Aviation Organisation (2018) state that in order to be resilient, industries need to move from managing a disaster, to managing risks and building resilient infrastructures that are sustainable.
The resilience of the Aviation industry in relation to crises.
The WEF (2020) writes “today’s risk landscape is shaped by an unsettled geopolitical environment in which new centres of power are forming—as old alliances and global institutions are being tested”. For the economy, “ammunition to fight a potential recession is lacking, and there is a possibility of an extended low-growth period. Climate change and related environmental issues are ranked highest in terms of likelihood.
Reference List
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