Future Welfare of Europe: Forecasting Techniques Essay

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Introduction

The probable welfare development in the European Union is taking place following the European Union’s current extension to 10 new member states. It is a greeting discussion, which contacts with welfare matters in the background of labour social and economic research.

It is generally known that in Europe, both old and new, the charge for social protection is persistently rising as a consequence of the rising number of people who require support and the require for better welfare services.

Definitely, with the decrease of birth rates and the expansion of life expectancy, the part of elderly people in the population has amplified. People are more claiming on the matters of their health. Moreover, the progress in medicine augmented the costs of healthcare. New literary models have extended, the participation by EU members is decreasing in the overall settlement of the problem, and new arrangements and reserves are essential to keep people who are no longer self-adequate.

Welfare challenges

The rising pressure on welfare charges forces authorities to completely reorganize their social policies. This is significant to evade exacting the burden of improper prices on future generations and hazarding social consistency and political steadiness.

In the allowance sector, this is worldwide trouble that impacts the relationship between labour and departure. Western financial systems have recognized that they are not able to rise to the challenge created by globalization unless people work more and longer.

The pension improvements started in the nineties have augmented the retirement age and initiated penalties for those who drop their jobs earlier or inducements to put off retirement. This has so far alleviated pension charges evaluated with GDP, but pressure obtaining from the population which is getting old in the future will call for new methods.

The rate of welfare reforms has increased in recent years, but what has been done is not sufficient. States will have to decrease their position and this provides space for private funds. Private funds have to plaster a wide range of hazards: the hazard of contracting sicknesses, the jeopardy of becoming incapable to work, the risk of being, the risk of running out of finances during retirement thus having no signification of support, etc.

Europe sets at the threshold of a new stage in its development, featured by a fierce opposition of systems between the foundations of the old national governments. In a Europe of 25 members, the national states will probably no longer be capable to act in the restricted manner as they once were able. Opening the borders compels them, on the one hand, to contend with decreased taxes and a well-developed infrastructure for the venture and location conclusions of private companies. Alternatively, every country will be on its sentry as a liberal social system may encourage migration floods of the needy that may turn it into a poor of Europe. Opposition among states has its powers, but its collision on the organizations of the social welfare state is not hopeful. The relocation of people and companies intimidates to trigger off avoidance means that could lead to corrosion of the social welfare condition.

Factors of European welfare

  1. Demographic trends
  2. Impact of population ageing on public spending
  3. Employment perspectives and problems
  4. Welfare system and competitiveness

The European financial faces progressively harder worldwide competition. The financial system must leap back. European social safety systems must stay purposeful and financially viable in an ageing community without locating unattainable lumbers on the following generation. The labour market must be created more flexible and obstructions to service must be eliminated. Non-wage labour charges must linger at satisfactory extents for both business and workers.

The achievement has to be accepted as the grounds for guaranteeing that the European social safety schemes stay sustainable for increasing the financial system and for making the potential for the speeding up of potential financial increase. The goal is to reform the welfare system or social-market financial scheme.

It has been underlined, that the welfare condition is the consequence of the contacts between social and financial components and these relations has varied significantly over time, with admiration to each welfare authority and at each time period among various welfare state regimes. The procedure of the financial amalgamation of Europe and the incorporation of the EU markets have produced a mutual hostility among social and financial policy with the result that some models are kept to be challenged due to their incongruity with the underlying new political surroundings. For instance, the process of the financial confederacy is presumed to weaken a diversity of social models, like the Scandinavian, French and German, while offering the proportional advantage of others, first and foremost Anglo-American models. Other practical work has challenged such an option offering that welfare states are steadily converging versus a deregulatory neo-liberal optimal and a social-democratic corporatist optimum.

Conclusion

Europeans have articulated great qualms on the matter of the euro although it was obvious that the euro would have no instantaneous results for actual profitable businesses. Alternatively, eastern EU extension, which is presently attracting little public notion, is a very serious matter which advances European amalgamation in terms of its essentiality and complexity. European unification was carried out by political fiat without deliberation of financial components, and how luxurious it was is obvious today.

Nevertheless, welfare cannot be gauged by applying a single macroeconomic variable. In its place, it is the consequence of the relations among conditional factors and it is strictly connected to the historical notion of the nation-state and with the further expansion of a political replica for the EU. The fact is that social assurance was the co-institution in the history of the national authorities in Europe which activated an institutionalization of cohesion in order to empower the connection between lands, cultural identities and political organizations; it will be also one of the most significant co-bases of the recently created European State described within its financial and political establishment. In this deference, one of the pre situations to have a European Welfare State is the junction of nation-grounded welfare regimes.

References

Balbinot, S., Strategies for the welfare society in the larger Europe: the insurance perspective European Papers on the new Welfare 2006.

Cagiano, R, Ageing and Rejuvenation (Counter-Ageing) of European Populations: The Philosophical Foundations, Issues on the Counter-Ageing Society, 2007.

Ferrera, M., A. Hemerijck and Rhodes, M.: The Future of Social Europe.,Oxford University Press. 2001.

Giarini, O, Liedtke. P The Employment Dilemma and the Future of Work, Geneva Association, 2006.

Giarini, O, Liedtke. P Abstracts from The Employment Dilemma and the Future of Work European Papers on the new Welfare 2006.

Giarini, O., Stahel, W., The limits to certainty – facing risks in the new service economy 2nd revised edition, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1993.

Leibfried, S. and Pierson, P. Semisovereign Welfare States: Social Polici in a Multitiered Europe’, in Leibfried and Pierson (eds.) European Social Policy: Between Fragmentation and Integration (Washington D.C.: Brookings). 2003.

Pierson, P. The new politics of the welfare state, World Politics, 48 (2): 1996.

Sinn, H. European Integration and the Future of the Welfare State. CES Working Paper n. 153, Munich Centre for Economic Studies. 2003.

Teague, P. Monetary Union and Social Europe, Journal of European Social Policy, 8(2) 2003.

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